Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.050706 0.059375 0.069043 0.080621 0.094107 0.109318 0.127779
2025-09-07 0.037744 0.049164 0.063272 0.081965 0.106077 0.136127 0.176434
2025-09-14 0.029402 0.041561 0.057804 0.081060 0.113479 0.157063 0.220136
2025-09-21 0.023535 0.035590 0.052770 0.078983 0.117933 0.173653 0.259454
2025-09-28 0.019223 0.030825 0.048309 0.076499 0.120762 0.187565 0.296089
2025-10-05 0.016939 0.028614 0.047104 0.078409 0.130021 0.211689 0.350774
2025-10-12 0.014869 0.026343 0.045359 0.079027 0.137058 0.232927 0.403362
2025-10-19 0.013124 0.024304 0.043628 0.079284 0.143325 0.253414 0.457041
2025-10-26 0.011827 0.022824 0.042596 0.080511 0.151269 0.277485 0.519701
2025-11-02 0.010897 0.021863 0.042318 0.082989 0.161665 0.306946 0.595521
2025-11-09 0.009449 0.019684 0.039468 0.080204 0.161784 0.317536 0.637346
2025-11-16 0.008476 0.018298 0.037933 0.079724 0.166203 0.336591 0.697578
2025-11-23 0.007535 0.016858 0.036138 0.078555 0.169255 0.353674 0.756800
2025-11-30 0.006970 0.016137 0.035723 0.080204 0.178351 0.384018 0.847243
2025-12-07 0.006264 0.014998 0.034258 0.079381 0.182037 0.403563 0.917249
2025-12-14 0.005557 0.013749 0.032378 0.077358 0.182781 0.416848 0.975164
2025-12-21 0.004913 0.012548 0.030441 0.074926 0.182243 0.427183 1.027641
2025-12-28 0.004620 0.012160 0.030337 0.076798 0.191974 0.461780 1.140467
2026-01-04 0.004280 0.011601 0.029747 0.077403 0.198728 0.490255 1.242273
2026-01-11 0.003955 0.011032 0.029055 0.077656 0.204634 0.517387 1.344155
2026-01-18 0.003708 0.010637 0.028750 0.078857 0.213094 0.551718 1.468283
2026-01-25 0.003539 0.010429 0.028903 0.081286 0.225052 0.596167 1.623821
2026-02-01 0.003163 0.009579 0.027232 0.078557 0.222923 0.604400 1.685432